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Bitcoin will still reach $150,000 by 2025, Bernstein reaffirmed in a new note. ETF and spot bitcoin demand has remained strong, analysts wrote. "Investors ask us if anything has changed on our $150K Bitcoin price view and if the post-halving price correction has affected our conviction. Second, rule updates from the Financial Accounting Standards Board pertaining to crypto are driving corporate interest in bitcoin, Bernstein said. Advertisement"Overall, healthy Bitcoin demand and continued discipline in the Bitcoin mining cycle, allowing the Bitcoin party to last longer this time.
Persons: Bitcoin, Bernstein, , Gautam Chhugani, Mahika Sapra, Block, Chhugani, Bernstein isn't, bitcoin Organizations: Service, ETF, Financial, outflows, Chartered, ~$ Locations: outflows, bitcoin
The Chinese stock market has rebounded and analysts said the rally looks set to continue. After six months of outflows, foreign investors are gradually putting money to work in China again. AdvertisementChina's stock market may have shaken its label as "uninvestable," with an economic rebound and a rally that could have plenty more room to run. LPL Financial strategist Adam Turnquist wrote this week that long-held bearish calls on China's property and stock market have shaken investor confidence. China's recent reputation as "uninvestable" has been fueled by mounting real estate troubles, a plummeting stock market and dismal consumer demand that's sparked a deflationary spell for the country.
Persons: , Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Ray Dalio Organizations: Service, LPL, Billionaire Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing
Russian energy giant Gazprom posted its first annual loss since 1999. AdvertisementRussian energy producer Gazprom Group reported its first annual loss in 24 years, with restricted energy flows to Europe a leading factor in dragging down earnings. International Energy Agency data indicates that gas flows to Europe hit their lowest levels since the early 1970s. Meanwhile, Gazprom has outlined investments totaling 2.57 trillion rubles for this year, indicating a reduction of nearly 16% compared to its projections for 2023. Russia has managed to reroute much of its energy flows to other countries such as China and India.
Persons: Organizations: Gazprom, Service, Gazprom Group, Bloomberg, Ukraine, International Energy Agency, Reuters Locations: Europe, Russian, Ukraine, Russia, China, India
Retail dollars flowed out of bitcoin ETFs in April, and investors should adopt a cautious stance on the cryptocurrency for now, according to JPMorgan. "The past two weeks saw significant selling/profit taking with perhaps retail investors playing a bigger role than institutional investors," JPMorgan's Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou said in a note Thursday. "Indeed, not only have spot bitcoin ETFs seen outflows in April but our proxies of the retail impulse into equities have also downshifted over the past month." Panigirtzoglou noted that in addition to crypto, retail investors also sold equities in April and that the impulse into stocks has also shifted down. "This is shown by … the net flow into equity funds including ETFs and mutual funds, typically used by retail investors … [which] turned negative in April after strong buying in February and March," he said.
Persons: JPMorgan's Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, Panigirtzoglou, cryptocurrencies Organizations: JPMorgan, Metrics, Investors, Federal
The logo of the cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC) can be seen on a coin standing in front of a Bitcoin chart. Bitcoin on Wednesday plunged sharply to its lowest level in over two months amid broader risk-off sentiment in markets, as investors kept an eye on the U.S. Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision. Crypto market participants are eyeing the upcoming interest rate decision from the U.S. Federal Reserve. The Federal Open Market Committee is due to meet on Wednesday afternoon to discuss its latest policy on interest rates. Markets have become more shaky lately, as investors fret over the prospect of a longer path toward interest rate cuts.
Persons: Bitcoin, Jerome Powell, Geoff Kendrick, Kendrick, Changpeng Zhao Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: U.S ., CoinGecko, solana, U.S, Hong Kong
Bitcoin's break below $58,000 on Wednesday clears a path for it to fall as low as $50,000, Standard Chartered said in new research. The crypto's decline has been driven by rising ETF outflows and falling US liquidity levels. AdvertisementDeteriorating conditions are denting the Bitcoin rally, with this week's drop below $60,000 putting it en route for an even lower price range. According to commentary from Standard Chartered, the apex token could temporarily reach as low as $50,000, signaling an over 13% drop from current levels. Among these are shrinking investments in spot bitcoin ETFs, funds that first sparked the rally at the year's start.
Persons: , Geoff Kendrick, Kendrick, Mike Novogratz, he's Organizations: Chartered, outflows, Service, Standard Chartered, FX Locations: Hong Kong
International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during a briefing on the Global Policy Agenda at IMF headquarters during the IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings in Washington, DC on April 18, 2024. Kristalina Georgieva, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund, played down the prospect of any negative impact from a monetary policy divergence between Europe and the U.S., but said issues could be more acute in emerging markets. The benchmark rates of most advanced economies soared in recent years, as central banks aimed to tame inflation following the Covid-19 pandemic. A high U.S. interest rate environment is traditionally bad news for emerging markets, as it makes their debts — often priced in U.S. dollars — more expensive. "It is a much more serious issue for countries where the impact of high interest rates in the United States are more profound — in many emerging market economies," Georgieva told CNBC's Silvia Amaro in Brussels on Monday.
Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, Georgieva, CNBC's Silvia Amaro Organizations: Monetary Fund, IMF, International Monetary Fund Locations: Washington , DC, Europe, U.S, United States, Brussels, Japan
Hong Kong stocks are back from the dead. Here’s why
  + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Laura He | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Hong Kong CNN —Hong Kong’s benchmark Hang Seng Index surged more than 7% in April as the best-performing major index in the world. The valuation of Hong Kong stocks has also become more “compelling” relative to the rest of the Asian region after the pullback last year, said Zhikai Chen, head of Asian equities at BNP Paribas Asset Management. He added that there is a shift in investors’ sentiments as Chinese economic data turned more positive. Innes said global investors are currently “underweight” in Chinese markets, including Hong Kong, because of geopolitical tensions and concerns surrounding potential fallout from the upcoming US elections. Stock exchange data showed that southbound investors (meaning investment from mainland China into Hong Kong) have bought nearly $20 billion of Hong Kong-listed stocks in March and the first three weeks of April on a net basis.
Persons: , Kelly Chung, Zhikai Chen, Stephen Innes, David Chao, Nomura, Xiaomei Chen, Angelina Lai, Innes, Kong, BNP Paribus Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Hong, Value Partners, BNP, Management, P Global, PMI, Kong's, Reuters, US, People’s Bank of, HK, Locations: China, Hong Kong, United States, Beijing, India, James’s, People’s Bank of China
A hedge fund veteran, having worked at Citadel, Millennium and Tiger Management, Delevska specializes in the industrial sector, communicating with more than 100 companies she covers. Delevska's Spear Alpha ETF (SPRX ), with $70 million in assets under management, has about 26 holdings and almost everything in her portfolio is expected to benefit in some way from AI. SPRX 1Y mountain Spear Alpha ETF Almost 11% in Nvidia The actively managed ETF is up more than 60% in the past 12 months, outpacing the better known Ark Innovation ETF . AI apart, Spear Alpha ETF invests in other themes, like enterprise digitalization, space exploration and decarbonization. Spear Alpha ETF has taken in $54 million in inflows so far in 2024, according to FactSet.
Persons: Ivana Delevska, Delevska, ARKK, Spear, Wood hasn't Organizations: Citadel, Tiger Management, Alpha, Nvidia, First, Spear Alpha Locations: FactSet, outflows
Tractor Supply CEO Hal Lawton told CNBC's Jim Cramer on Thursday that a substantial number of Americans are moving out of cities, and many are headed to rural areas. "They've continued, albeit to a lesser absolute number, but net we're still seeing significant migration out of urban America, and most of that migration, or a lot of it, is going into rural America," Lawton said. Tractor Supply is a retail chain that sells equipment for home improvement, such as supplies for gardening and farming. Lawton told Cramer that the company has been dealing with business headwinds, with consumer spending trends swinging from goods to services. But he expressed optimism for the future, saying Tractor Supply can "begin to see light at the end of the tunnel now against those headwinds."
Persons: Hal Lawton, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Lawton, They've, Cramer Organizations: Tractor, Neighbor's Locations: America
The onshore CNY is currently trading at 7.24 per U.S. dollar. The South Korean won recently slipped to an 18-month low of 1,389.5 against the dollar. The Bank of Korea chief called the won volatility "excessive" and said the central bank would intervene if needed. Taiwan dollarBofA also remains negative on the Taiwan dollar given strong equity outflows and life insurance companies' additional unwinding of non-deliverable forward hedges. The Taiwan dollar is currently trading at 32.6 per U.S. dollar.
Persons: SeongJoon Cho Organizations: Korean, Woori, Bloomberg, Getty, U.S, South Korean, Fed, Bank of Korea, U.S ., Taiwan Locations: Seoul, South Korea
In today's big story, we're looking at Tesla's earnings report and what comes next for the EV maker. The big storyTesla's turnaround planJADE GAO/AFP via Getty Images; Chelsea Jia Feng; BIBad news: Tesla's earnings report was worse than expected. AdvertisementPerhaps that's why Musk spent so much of the earnings call discussing autonomy and the progress made with Tesla's Full Self-Driving software . Musk told analysts on the earnings call that Tesla is the majority of his work . If investors vote against the package at Tesla's annual meeting in June, who knows where Musk — and his AI ambitions — will end up .
Persons: , Chelsea Jia Feng, Elon Musk, Tesla, Musk, hasn't, Insider's Linette Lopez, Matt Anderson, Tyler Le, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Cathie, Stocks, Goldman Sachs, Gerard Julien, Elon Musk's, Carl Godfrey, Joe Biden, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Getty Images, Tesla, Getty, EV, Musk's, Intel, Micron Technology, Microsoft, BI America, Amazon, Boeing, Meta, IBM, US Locations: Delaware, Outflows, United States, China, Idaho, New York, London
Investors are ramping up outflows from Cathie Wood's ARK funds after a three-year decline. The suite of ARK ETFs has seen net outflows of $2.2 billion so far this year, triple the outflows in 2023. AdvertisementInvestors in Cathie Wood's ARK ETFs are starting to increase the pace of outflows after a string of bad bets and a painful three-year decline. The ARK ETFs' combined assets under management stand at $11.1 billion, down 81% from its peak AUM of $59 billion in 2021. This dynamic — the sharp decline in ARK funds while the broader stock market hits record highs — was highlighted by Morningstar earlier this year.
Persons: , Morningstar, Amy Arnott, Wood, Tesla Organizations: Service, Innovation, Morningstar, Nvidia, Unity Software
"What we've seen is deposit pressures escalate more than previously anticipated," said Alexander Yokum, analyst at CFRA Research, who has a neutral view on regional banks. "A lot of these regional banks, they have less deposits, so if they lose deposits, it can really impact their operating results," Yokum said. "So, higher for longer, I think for a lot of regional banks, would be negative." Here's what Wall Street analysts expect from regional banks this season. Other regional banks reporting this week include Fifth Third Bancorp .
Persons: Alexander Yokum, Yokum, Goldman Sachs, Ryan M, Nash, America's Ebrahim H, Poonawala, CFRA's Yokum, Citi's Keith Horowitz, " Horowitz, Huntington Bancshares Huntington Bancshares Organizations: Regional Banking, U.S . Bancorp, New York Community, CFRA Research, JPMorgan Chase, T Bank, PNC, " Bank, America's, U.S . Bancorp U.S . Bancorp, U.S . Bank, Bank of America, Huntington, Comerica KeyCorp, Comerica, Fifth Third Bancorp Locations: U.S, New, Ohio
Some equity funds closely tied to those commodities, such as those that invest in gold and silver miners, have soared even more. Five of the six biggest gold ETFs have seen outflows this year, totaling almost $3 billion, according to FactSet. GLD 5Y mountain Gold, and the ETFs that track it, are trading at record highs in early 2024. The fund's holdings include gold, silver, platinum and palladium. Meanwhile, Teucrium has several ETFs focused on agricultural commodities that have climbed over the past month as well, including the the Teucrium Soybean Fund (SOYB) , up over 3%.
Persons: Jake Hanley, Hanley, Robert Minter, Minter, Teucrium Organizations: United States Oil Fund, Hershey Locations: East, Europe
During the total solar eclipse on April 8th, the fiery green "Devil comet" could be visible too. The timing offers a rare opportunity to simultaneously see a comet and a total solar eclipse. For the first time in 71 years, Comet 12P/Pons-Brooks, a.k.a the "Mother of Dragons" or "Devil comet," is coming relatively close to the sun. Time will pass quickly, and there are plenty of other spectacular phenomena to watch for during the event, besides the Devil comet. So an eruption during the total solar eclipse would be a spectacular treat if it happened.
Persons: , Comet 12P, Pons, Brooks, it's, Everest, Juan Lacruz, Robert Massey, Geronimo Villanueva, Pons Brooks, Stuart Atkinson Organizations: Service, Comet, Royal Astronomical Society, Wikimedia Locations: Texas, Maine, Jupiter
Bankman-Fried, the founder and former CEO of failed crypto exchange FTX, will head on Thursday to a federal court in downtown Manhattan, where U.S. District Judge Lewis Kaplan will deliver his sentencing. After a month of personally dabbling in the market, Bankman-Fried launched Alameda Research, named after the California county that housed his first office. The so-called crypto winter of 2022 wiped out hedge funds and lenders across the crypto universe. May of 2022 brought the crash of stablecoin Luna, creating a domino effect that sent crypto prices plunging, devastating other lenders. On Nov. 2, 2022, crypto trade site CoinDesk publicized details of Alameda's balance sheet, which showed $14.6 billion in assets.
Persons: Samuel Bankman, MacKenzie Sigalos, Sam Bankman, Fried, Damian Williams, District Judge Lewis Kaplan, they'd, FTX, Amr Alfiky, Jane Street, Goldman Sachs, stablecoin Luna, Solana, Changpeng Zhao, Binance, Zhao, Jane Rosenberg, he'd, Cromwell, John J, Ray, confidants, — CNBC's Rohan Goswami Organizations: CNBC, Metropolitan Detention, U.S, District, Prosecutors, Reuters, Jane, Alameda Research, Formula, Democratic, Voyager, Alameda, FTX, Industry, Investors, Enron, Securities and Exchange Commission, Stanford University Locations: San Francisco, he's, Brooklyn, Manhattan, U.S, New York City, South Korea, Alameda, California, Miami, Washington, Solana, FTX, New York, Palo Alto , California
Japan's yen hits 34-year-low, heating talk of intervention
  + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Japanese 1,000 yen, 5,000 yen and 10,000 yen banknotes arranged in Kyoto, Japan, on Thursday, Nov. 2, 2023. The contradictions in Japan's efforts to protect the yen while slowing the pace of rising bond yields are becoming increasingly clear in currency and debt markets. The yen was last at 151.22 against the dollar at 10:19 a.m. London time after paring back some losses. The yen hit a 34-year-low on Wednesday, weakening as much as 151.97 against the U.S. dollar and fueling market questions over potential government intervention to prop the Japanese currency. "There is now a higher chance of Japanese FX intervention.
Persons: Kentaro Takahashi, Shunichi Suzuki, Masato Kanda, Kanda Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, U.S ., Bank of Japan, Financial Services Agency, Reuters, FX, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of America Global Research Locations: Kyoto, Japan, London
Bitcoin jumps 7%, retakes $70,000 to start the week
  + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
MicroStrategy , which trades as a proxy for the price of bitcoin, surged 20%, while Coinbase advanced 9%. The mining sector got a lift from bitcoin, too, with Marathon Digital and Riot Platforms up 4% and 9%, respectively. Bitcoin had been in correction mode for the past week, after it hit an all-time high of $73,797.68 on March 14. Sam Callahan, lead analyst at bitcoin services firm Swan Bitcoin, said it's likely tied to the messaging coming from the Federal Reserve last week. Despite its pullbacks, bitcoin is on pace to finish March on a winning note.
Persons: CleanSpark, cryptocurrency, cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, Alex Thorn, Thorn, Genesis, Sam Callahan, Swan Bitcoin, it's Organizations: Marathon, Mining, Metrics, Galaxy Digital, Federal Reserve, Fed
What's behind bitcoin's volatility and ETF outflows?
  + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat's behind bitcoin's volatility and ETF outflows? Hosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC
After subtracting for outflows, JPMorgan's Peng Cheng said retail traders poured nearly $450 million into single stocks over the last week. Nvidia , Advanced Micro Devices and Super Micro Computer were among the stocks seeing the largest net retail outflows in the week, JPMorgan found. Advanced Micro had retail net outflows of more than $800 million in the period, while investors sold Super Micro shares to the tune of $301 million, the firm said. Beyond AI stocks, Tesla was another one of those most sold names in the week with retail net outflows of more than $300 million, according to JPMorgan. Apple was the most bought stock by everyday investors in the week, clinching more than $1.4 billion, JPMorgan found.
Persons: JPMorgan's Peng Cheng, Cheng, Tesla Organizations: JPMorgan, Nvidia, Devices, Micro, AMD, Super Micro, LSEG, Tesla, Big Tech, Apple
Grayscale CEO Michael Sonnenshein said that the crypto fund manager expects to bring fees on its Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF down in the coming months, as the nascent crypto ETF market matures. The FTX bankruptcy estate reportedly offloaded the majority of its shares in Grayscale's bitcoin ETF, according to January reporting from Bloomberg and CoinDesk. Grayscale also wants to introduce other ways of giving investors less costly ways of accessing its bitcoin ETF, including a "mini" version of its flagship product — the Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust, announced last week. The new BTC ETF would be effectively spun out of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF and seeded with an as-yet undisclosed portion of bitcoin underlying GBTC shares. The firm is currently awaiting approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for its Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF.
Persons: Michael Sonnenshein, Sonnenshein, GBTC, FTX Organizations: NYSE, LONDON, CNBC, Bloomberg, BlackRock, Fidelity, Vanguard, Trust, BTC, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC Locations: Grayscale's bitcoin, solana
The excitement around the arrival of bitcoin ETFs and the subsequent surge to new highs for the cryptocurrency is making even bitcoin bulls raise their expectations. "We raise our long-held price estimate to the USD 150,000 level from USD 100,000 given the more rapid pass-through from ETF inflows to the BTC price to date," the note said. The new bitcoin ETFs have pulled in billions of dollars from investors since their January launch, even with the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust seeing heavy outflows. The iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has raked in more than $12 billion on its own, according to FactSet. The quick growth of the bitcoin ETFs has boosted confidence that there are more investors interested in crypto who have been reluctant to buy it through crypto exchanges.
Persons: Geoff Kendrick, Kendrick Organizations: BTC, Metrics, bitcoin Locations: Bitcoin
A bitcoin halving — when the number of tokens rewarded to miners gets cut by 50% — happens reliably every four years. This time, however, supply will slow within months of an unprecedented demand shock, fueled by the approval of 11 spot bitcoin ETFs from asset management titans including BlackRock and Fidelity. AdvertisementAnd what's new this year is the wave of demand from bitcoin ETFs. Recent weeks have seen single-day inflows into spot bitcoin ETFs topping $1 billion, BitMex data shows. "We've never had both a supply shock and a demand shock at the same time."
Persons: , Sandy Kaul, Franklin Templeton's, bitcoin, it's, Greg Magadini, Magadini, Kaul, We've, Samir Kerbage, doesn't, Kerbage, Brian Rudick, Rudick Organizations: Service, BlackRock, Fidelity, Business
This is about the wealthy contributing more ... the extremely wealthy contributing more and being proud to do that. "This is about the wealthy contributing more to the society, the extremely wealthy contributing more and being proud to do that," Phil White, retired business owner and Patriotic Millionaires co-signatory, told CNBC. But experts are divided over the effectiveness of a wealth tax, and its how achievable it is in reality. Data suggests that wealth tax accounts for only a very small proportion of total tax revenues in the countries where it has been applied. Data suggests that a wealth tax accounts for only a very small proportion of total tax revenues in the countries where it has been applied.
Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Phil White, Abigail Disney, Brian Cox, Arun Advani, Advani, Christine Cairns, PwC, Tord Kolstad, Kolstad, Kolstad Eiendom Organizations: Patriotic, Patriotic Millionaires, CNBC, Scottish, University of Warwick Locations: Brazil, Europe, Switzerland, Norway, Spain, Colombia
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